Intelligence for
the Knowing 10.

In a stadium of 50,000 Polymarket traders, 10 would be genuinely in the know. notahunch found them โ€” and tells you when they act. On the top tier, it acts on it for you too.

The wallet intelligence is the signal. The exit automation is the edge.

Signal
We watch. You act.
You get the alert. Entry, monitoring, and exit on your own terms.
Trade
Tap to enter. Tap for auto-exit.
Two taps, protection engaged. Custos watches and exits if needed.
Autopilot
Tap to enter. Auto-out.
Tap to enter. Custos exits automatically. Nothing else required.
Subscribe Now
or subscribe via Telegram

We're opening access to the first 100 members. Early access. Early price.

Two taps to a protected trade.

That's it. Tap to enter the trade. Tap to enable auto-exit. You're in, protection engaged, and you can put your phone down. Custos handles everything from there.

Tap 1
๐Ÿณ notahunch ยท NBA
Celtics โ€” YES ย ยทย  0.43
Smart money just moved
โœ… Tap to enter
+
Tap 2
โœ… Entered ยท Celtics YES
Entry: 0.43 ยท Custos watching
Enable auto-exit?
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Yes, arm Custos
=
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ
Protection
Engaged

Jeff Bezos got rich with the one-tap buy. We're doing two โ€” but the second one protects your whole position.
He has one less tap than us. We have Custos.

The Knowing 10 are active right now.

Each dot is a real signal. Tap one to see what subscribers received.

Subscribe for live signals โ†’
0.04%

In a stadium of 50,000 Polymarket traders,
roughly 10 are genuinely in the know.

The leaderboard is open. The blockchain is public. Every trade is visible. And still just 0.04% of wallets profit. The other 49,990 are noise โ€” bots, market makers, people who got lucky once. notahunch spent two years identifying the 10 who actually know what they're doing.

Financial Times, April 2026: two-thirds of all money won on Polymarket was held by 740 accounts.

Four things notahunch watches, so you don't have to.

Every notification tells you something specific. Here's what each one means.

๐ŸŽฏ
Smart Money

We found the wallets that win consistently. We watch them, and when they move we'll tell you. These guys are the Knowing 10, and when they trade we'll send you a Smart Money signal.

๐Ÿ“ก notahunch
๐Ÿ€ Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Tips off in 2h 15m
๐Ÿ‘‘ Elite Wallet 1 (94% win rate) โ†’ YES at 0.42
๐Ÿ’Ž VIP Wallet 2 (78% win rate) โ†’ YES at 0.44
Current: 0.45
Trade on Polymarket โ†—
โœ… I'm in
โšก
Conviction

When one of the Knowing 10 stops placing regular trades and goes aggressive, by taking on a position size materially larger than their average, it's not noise, it's a Conviction signal.

๐Ÿ“ก notahunch
๐Ÿ€ Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Tips off in 2h 15m
๐Ÿ‘‘ Elite Wallet 1 (94% win rate) โ†’ YES at 0.38
โšก 3.1ร— their average position size
Current: 0.41
Trade on Polymarket โ†—
โœ… I'm in
๐Ÿšจ
WTF

Sometimes someone arrives at the stadium for the first time, walks straight to the corporate box, and throws serious money at a market like they know something. Anonymous. No history. No pattern. Just conviction at scale. We can't tell you who they are. But the moment they arrive, you'll know about it.

๐Ÿšจ notahunch WTF
๐Ÿ€ Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Tips off in 2h 15m
Unknown wallet โ†’ YES at 0.31
$47,500 ยท 12ร— market average
Current: 0.34
Trade on Polymarket โ†—
โœ… I'm in
๐Ÿ”ด
Contra

Some wallets in the 49,980 just shouldn't trade. Everything they touch loses. Consistently. Predictably. These people are useful to us. When they bet one way โ€” we tell you to go the other. We call this a Contra signal.

๐Ÿ”ด notahunch Contra
๐Ÿ€ Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Known loser (23% accuracy) โ†’ YES at 0.68
Current: 0.67
Fade signal โ€” consider NO
Trade on Polymarket โ†—
โœ… I'm in
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ
Custos โ€” more P, less L.
Your trade's guardian. Custos is Latin for Custodian.

Most intelligence services stop at the entry signal. notahunch doesn't.

After you tap in, Custos starts watching. It monitors the same wallets that sent the original signal โ€” tracking whether they're holding, adding, or getting out. It watches external sharp signals for signs that the edge has shifted. And it runs Drift, a momentum model that detects adverse price movement before the full correction arrives.

What Custos does with that depends on your tier.

Signal tier
Shadow alert
When any exit trigger fires, Custos tells you it would exit here. The decision is yours.
โš ๏ธ Custos โ€” Consider Exiting
NBA ยท Celtics YES ย ยทย  Entry: 0.42 โ†’ Now: 0.29
Custos would exit here.
Trade tier
Tap to exit
Same alert, but with a button. One tap executes the sell. You stay in control of the final decision.
โš ๏ธ Custos โ€” Consider Exiting
NBA ยท Celtics YES ย ยทย  Entry: 0.42 โ†’ Now: 0.29
โŒ Tap to Exit
Autopilot tier
Auto-exit
If you enabled auto-exit at trade entry, Custos exits without waiting for you. You get the confirmation after the fact.
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Custos โ€” Exited
NBA ยท Celtics YES
Entry: 0.42 ยท Exit: 0.31
Protection engaged. Position closed.

One choice. How much do you want to do?

All tiers include every signal type and every market category.
The difference is how much you want to do.

Signal
$6.99/mo
We watch, you act
  • โœ“Smart money signals โ€” Sports, Politics, Finance
  • โœ“Kickoff reminders & position movement alerts
  • โœ“Team alerts for your favourite teams
  • โœ“Custos shadow alerts โ€” know when to exit
Trade
$12.99/mo
Tap to enter + tap to exit
  • โœ“Everything in Signal
  • โœ“One tap enters your position at signal time
  • โœ“One tap exits any position from Telegram
  • โœ“BYO โ€” trade any Polymarket market via Telegram
Subscribe
Autopilot
$15.99/mo
Tap to enter, auto-out
  • โœ“Everything in Trade
  • โœ“Custos auto-exits without waiting for you
  • โœ“Per-trade auto-exit preference at entry
  • โœ“Nothing else required after you tap in
Subscribe

Cancel anytime. Signals via Telegram. Connect your account after payment. Founding rate โ€” price only goes down from here โ†’

Your price only goes one direction.

Subscribe now at the founding rate. Your price steps down automatically at months 4, 7, and 13 โ€” no action required. The longer you stay, the less you pay.

At signup
Founding rate
Month 4
First step-down
Month 7
Second step-down
Month 13
Lowest rate
One catch: cancel and rejoin, and you go back to the nominal new-subscriber rate โ€” not the founding rate you earned. The discount is earned through continuity. It doesn't transfer to a new subscription.

That's not a scam.
That's not a gamble.
That's notahunch.
Join the Knowing 10.

Subscribe Now

Founding rate. Cancel anytime.

We're opening access to the first 100 members. Early access. Early price.

WTFAQ

notahunch is an intelligence and execution tool for Polymarket. Your account, your funds, your responsibility. Polymarket availability varies by jurisdiction โ€” it is your responsibility to ensure that accessing and trading on Polymarket is legal where you live.

Nothing on this site constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to trade. Prediction markets carry significant risk. Past wallet performance does not guarantee future results. Only trade with money you can afford to lose.

On Trade and Autopilot tiers, notahunch places orders on Polymarket using credentials you supply. We make no warranty as to the execution of trade entries or exits. We cannot be held liable for failures arising from technology outages, API unavailability, network interruption, or insufficient market liquidity at the time of execution.

Custos is designed to reduce downside exposure by exiting positions when adverse signals are detected. Exiting a position early may also forgo upside if the market subsequently recovers. notahunch cannot be held liable for gains not realised as a result of a Custos-triggered exit, whether automatic or prompt-assisted.

notahunch.wtf is operated by nota group.